Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction
Cagliari
FrosinoneNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 56%
- Expected goals 1.2–1.5, so 51% for over 2.5 and 56% for both to score
- Last five: Cagliari LLLDW, Frosinone WDWLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 70% combined.
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Cagliari vs Frosinone preview
Cagliari host Frosinone in Serie A on Saturday 7 November. Cagliari sit 10th in the table on 13 points from 9 games, while Frosinone are 6th with 17 points. Frosinone come into it having won three of their last five (WDWLW); Cagliari have lost three of their last five (LLLDW). Cagliari average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, compared with 2.4 and 1.6 for Frosinone. Our model expects around 1.2 goals for Cagliari and 1.5 for Frosinone, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%. We make Cagliari 30% to win, the draw 28% and Frosinone 41%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 56%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari win | 30% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – | – |
| Frosinone win | 41% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 44% | – | – | – |
| Cagliari or draw | 59% | – | – | – |
| Frosinone or draw | 70% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 72% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Cagliari | 1.2 |
| Frosinone | 1.5 |
| Total | 2.7 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Cagliari 1–1 Frosinone | 14% |
| Cagliari 1–2 Frosinone | 9% |
| Cagliari 0–1 Frosinone | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Cagliari | |
| Frosinone |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 10th | 13 | 9 |
| Frosinone | 6th | 17 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Frosinone | 2.4 | 1.6 |
Cagliari vs Frosinone: FAQ
Who will win Cagliari vs Frosinone?
We make Cagliari 30% to win, the draw 28% and Frosinone 41%, so Frosinone are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 56%.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Frosinone?
We give both teams to score a 56% chance. Our expected goals are 1.2 for Cagliari and 1.5 for Frosinone.
How many goals in Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 51% and under 2.5 at 49%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Cagliari vs Frosinone kick off?
Cagliari vs Frosinone kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in Serie A.
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