1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 prediction

1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 preview

Bundesliga action on Sunday 8 November sees FC Schalke 04 travel to face 1899 Hoffenheim. In the standings, FC Schalke 04 are 16th on 6 points from 8 games and 1899 Hoffenheim 11th on 9 points from 8 games. On form, 1899 Hoffenheim have lost three of their last five (LWWLL), while FC Schalke 04 have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (LDLLD). In front of goal, 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.8 and concede 2.0 a game on average; FC Schalke 04 score 0.5 and concede 1.1. On expected goals we have 1899 Hoffenheim at 1.9 and FC Schalke 04 at 1.4, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 62%. We make 1899 Hoffenheim 58% to win, the draw 22% and FC Schalke 04 20%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 60%, 21% and 20%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 65%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.