Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction
Atalanta
Kairat AlmatyNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%
- Expected goals 1.7–1.2, so 57% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
- Last five: Atalanta LW, Kairat Almaty LD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 74% combined.
Expected goals 1.7–1.2, 3.0 in total.
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Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty preview
Atalanta welcome Kairat Almaty on Thursday 5 November in the Conference League. Atalanta sit 15th in the table on 3 points from 2 games, while Kairat Almaty are 31st with 1 point. That puts Atalanta 16 places higher. In front of goal, Atalanta score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game on average; Kairat Almaty score 1.0 and concede 3.0. On expected goals we have Atalanta at 1.7 and Kairat Almaty at 1.2, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Atalanta 48% to win, the draw 26% and Kairat Almaty 26%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta win | 48% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| Kairat Almaty win | 26% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 40% | – | – | – |
| Atalanta or draw | 74% | – | – | – |
| Kairat Almaty or draw | 52% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Atalanta | 1.7 |
| Kairat Almaty | 1.2 |
| Total | 3.0 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Atalanta 1–1 Kairat Almaty | 12% |
| Atalanta 2–1 Kairat Almaty | 10% |
| Atalanta 2–0 Kairat Almaty | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 2) | Results |
|---|---|
| Atalanta | |
| Kairat Almaty |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 15th | 3 | 2 |
| Kairat Almaty | 31st | 1 | 2 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Kairat Almaty | 1.0 | 3.0 |
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: FAQ
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
We make Atalanta 48% to win, the draw 26% and Kairat Almaty 26%, so Atalanta are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Atalanta and 1.2 for Kairat Almaty.
How many goals in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Our model expects about 3.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 57% and under 2.5 at 43%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kick off?
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.
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