Bookie Verdict
Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction

Conference League ·

Lincoln Red Imps FC
Kick-off (UTC)
HNK Hajduk Split
Our verdict · Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Our chance60%
Fair odds1.66

No value edgeConfidence: Low

Why

  • We make it 60%
  • Expected goals 1.3–1.7, so 57% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
  • Last five: Lincoln Red Imps FC LL, HNK Hajduk Split WW
  • No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip

Our 2nd and 3rd picks

Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw

No side is clear, so we cover two results: 73% combined.

73%
Goals
Over 2.5 goals

Expected goals 1.3–1.7, 3.0 in total.

57%

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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split preview

Lincoln Red Imps FC host HNK Hajduk Split in the Conference League on Thursday 5 November. Lincoln Red Imps FC sit 33rd in the table on 0 points from 2 games, while HNK Hajduk Split are 8th with 6 points. That puts HNK Hajduk Split 25 places higher. Lincoln Red Imps FC average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game, compared with 1.5 and 0.5 for HNK Hajduk Split. On expected goals we have Lincoln Red Imps FC at 1.3 and HNK Hajduk Split at 1.7, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Lincoln Red Imps FC 27% to win, the draw 26% and HNK Hajduk Split 46%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.

Match result: our chances against the odds

OutcomeOur chanceBest priceImpliedEdge
Lincoln Red Imps FC win27%–––
Draw26%–––
HNK Hajduk Split win46%–––

Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.

Goals, both teams to score and double chance

OutcomeOur chanceBest priceImpliedEdge
Over 2.5 goals57%–––
Under 2.5 goals43%–––
Both teams to score60%–––
Not both to score40%–––
Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw54%–––
HNK Hajduk Split or draw73%–––
Either team to win74%–––

Expected goals and likely scores

Expected goalsxG
Lincoln Red Imps FC1.3
HNK Hajduk Split1.7
Total3.0
Most likely scoresChance
Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split12%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split9%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split7%

Form, table and goals

Form (last 2)Results
Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split
League positionPosPtsPlayed
Lincoln Red Imps FC33rd02
HNK Hajduk Split8th62
Goals per gameScoredConceded
Lincoln Red Imps FC1.03.0
HNK Hajduk Split1.50.5

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: FAQ

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We make Lincoln Red Imps FC 27% to win, the draw 26% and HNK Hajduk Split 46%, so HNK Hajduk Split are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.

Will both teams score in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We give both teams to score a 60% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 1.7 for HNK Hajduk Split.

How many goals in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our model expects about 3.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 57% and under 2.5 at 43%. The single most likely score is 1–1.

What time does Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split kick off?

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.

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