Conference League

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction

Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 UTC

FC Thun

17:45

Kick-off (UTC)

Heart Of Midlothian

Our verdict · Goals

Under 2.5 goals

Our chance55%

Fair odds1.82

No value edgeConfidence: Low

Why

We make it 55%
Expected goals 1.4–1.1, so 45% for over 2.5 and 51% for both to score
Last five: FC Thun LL, Heart Of Midlothian LD
No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip

Our 2nd and 3rd picks

Double chance

FC Thun or draw

No side is clear, so we cover two results: 73% combined.

73%

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FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian preview

FC Thun welcome Heart Of Midlothian on Thursday 5 November in the Conference League. In the standings, Heart Of Midlothian are 28th on 1 point from 2 games and FC Thun 32nd on 0 points from 2 games. FC Thun average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, compared with 0.5 and 1.5 for Heart Of Midlothian. On expected goals we have FC Thun at 1.4 and Heart Of Midlothian at 1.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%). We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.

We make FC Thun 44% to win, the draw 30% and Heart Of Midlothian 27%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 55%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.

Match result: our chances against the odds

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
FC Thun win	44%	–	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–	–
Heart Of Midlothian win	27%	–	–	–

Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.

Goals, both teams to score and double chance

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–	–
Under 2.5 goals	55%	–	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–	–
Not both to score	49%	–	–	–
FC Thun or draw	73%	–	–	–
Heart Of Midlothian or draw	56%	–	–	–
Either team to win	70%	–	–	–

Expected goals and likely scores

Expected goals	xG
FC Thun	1.4
Heart Of Midlothian	1.1
Total	2.5

Most likely scores	Chance
FC Thun 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian	14%
FC Thun 1–0 Heart Of Midlothian	10%
FC Thun 0–0 Heart Of Midlothian	10%

Form, table and goals

Form (last 2)	Results
FC Thun
Heart Of Midlothian

League position	Pos	Pts	Played
FC Thun	32nd	0	2
Heart Of Midlothian	28th	1	2

Goals per game	Scored	Conceded
FC Thun	0.0	1.0
Heart Of Midlothian	0.5	1.5

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian: FAQ

Who will win FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We make FC Thun 44% to win, the draw 30% and Heart Of Midlothian 27%, so FC Thun are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 55%.

Will both teams score in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We give both teams to score a 51% chance. Our expected goals are 1.4 for FC Thun and 1.1 for Heart Of Midlothian.

How many goals in FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and under 2.5 at 55%. The single most likely score is 1–1.

What time does FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian kick off?

FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.