Getafe vs Brighton prediction
Getafe
BrightonNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 62%
- Expected goals 1.4–1.6, so 58% for over 2.5 and 62% for both to score
- Last five: Getafe LD, Brighton DW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 68% combined.
Expected goals 1.4–1.6, 3.0 in total.
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Getafe vs Brighton preview
Getafe welcome Brighton on Thursday 5 November in the Conference League. In the standings, Brighton are 9th on 4 points from 2 games and Getafe 30th on 1 point from 2 games. That puts Brighton 21 places higher. Getafe average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game, compared with 2.0 and 0.0 for Brighton. On expected goals we have Getafe at 1.4 and Brighton at 1.6, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. We make Getafe 32% to win, the draw 27% and Brighton 41%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 62%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe win | 32% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – | – |
| Brighton win | 41% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 62% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 38% | – | – | – |
| Getafe or draw | 59% | – | – | – |
| Brighton or draw | 68% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 73% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Getafe | 1.4 |
| Brighton | 1.6 |
| Total | 3.0 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Getafe 1–1 Brighton | 12% |
| Getafe 1–2 Brighton | 9% |
| Getafe 2–1 Brighton | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 2) | Results |
|---|---|
| Getafe | |
| Brighton |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 30th | 1 | 2 |
| Brighton | 9th | 4 | 2 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Brighton | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Getafe vs Brighton: FAQ
Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?
We make Getafe 32% to win, the draw 27% and Brighton 41%, so Brighton are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 62%.
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Brighton?
We give both teams to score a 62% chance. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Getafe and 1.6 for Brighton.
How many goals in Getafe vs Brighton?
Our model expects about 3.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and under 2.5 at 42%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Getafe vs Brighton kick off?
Getafe vs Brighton kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.
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