Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction
Monaco
FC NordsjaellandNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 55%
- Expected goals 1.7–1.1, so 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both to score
- Last five: Monaco WW, FC Nordsjaelland DD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Our model gives Monaco the win 52%.
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Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland preview
Monaco host FC Nordsjaelland in the Conference League on Thursday 5 November. Monaco sit 6th in the table on 6 points from 2 games, while FC Nordsjaelland are 19th with 2 points. That puts Monaco 13 places higher. Monaco average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, compared with 1.5 and 1.5 for FC Nordsjaelland. On expected goals we have Monaco at 1.7 and FC Nordsjaelland at 1.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 55%. We make Monaco 52% to win, the draw 26% and FC Nordsjaelland 22%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 55%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco win | 52% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| FC Nordsjaelland win | 22% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 45% | – | – | – |
| Monaco or draw | 78% | – | – | – |
| FC Nordsjaelland or draw | 48% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Monaco | 1.7 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Monaco 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland | 13% |
| Monaco 2–1 FC Nordsjaelland | 10% |
| Monaco 2–0 FC Nordsjaelland | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 2) | Results |
|---|---|
| Monaco | |
| FC Nordsjaelland |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 6th | 6 | 2 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 19th | 2 | 2 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland: FAQ
Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?
We make Monaco 52% to win, the draw 26% and FC Nordsjaelland 22%, so Monaco are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 55%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?
We give both teams to score a 55% chance. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Monaco and 1.1 for FC Nordsjaelland.
How many goals in Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and under 2.5 at 47%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland kick off?
Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.
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