Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction
Panathinaikos
CSKA SofiaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 63%
- Expected goals 1.8–1.4, so 61% for over 2.5 and 63% for both to score
- Last five: Panathinaikos WW, CSKA Sofia DL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 71% combined.
Expected goals 1.8–1.4, 3.1 in total.
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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia preview
Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the Conference League on Thursday 5 November. Panathinaikos sit 1st in the table on 6 points from 2 games, while CSKA Sofia are 23rd with 1 point. That puts Panathinaikos 22 places higher. Panathinaikos average 3.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, compared with 1.5 and 2.0 for CSKA Sofia. On expected goals we have Panathinaikos at 1.8 and CSKA Sofia at 1.4, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. We make Panathinaikos 45% to win, the draw 26% and CSKA Sofia 29%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 63%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos win | 45% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| CSKA Sofia win | 29% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 63% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 37% | – | – | – |
| Panathinaikos or draw | 71% | – | – | – |
| CSKA Sofia or draw | 55% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.8 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.4 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA Sofia | 12% |
| Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia | 9% |
| Panathinaikos 1–2 CSKA Sofia | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 2) | Results |
|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | |
| CSKA Sofia |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1st | 6 | 2 |
| CSKA Sofia | 23rd | 1 | 2 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: FAQ
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We make Panathinaikos 45% to win, the draw 26% and CSKA Sofia 29%, so Panathinaikos are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 63%.
Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We give both teams to score a 63% chance. Our expected goals are 1.8 for Panathinaikos and 1.4 for CSKA Sofia.
How many goals in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and under 2.5 at 39%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia kick off?
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.
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