Twente vs Pafos prediction
Twente
PafosNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 55%
- Expected goals 1.7–1.1, so 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both to score
- Last five: Twente WW, Pafos DL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Our model gives Twente the win 52%.
Build your bet slip
Twente vs Pafos preview
Conference League action on Thursday 5 November sees Pafos travel to face Twente. In the standings, Pafos are 27th on 1 point from 2 games and Twente 5th on 6 points from 2 games. That puts Twente 22 places higher. In front of goal, Twente score 2.5 and concede 0.5 a game on average; Pafos score 1.0 and concede 2.0. Our model expects around 1.7 goals for Twente and 1.1 for Pafos, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 55%. We make Twente 52% to win, the draw 26% and Pafos 22%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 55%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente win | 52% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| Pafos win | 22% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 45% | – | – | – |
| Twente or draw | 78% | – | – | – |
| Pafos or draw | 48% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Twente | 1.7 |
| Pafos | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Twente 1–1 Pafos | 13% |
| Twente 2–1 Pafos | 10% |
| Twente 2–0 Pafos | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 2) | Results |
|---|---|
| Twente | |
| Pafos |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 5th | 6 | 2 |
| Pafos | 27th | 1 | 2 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Pafos | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Twente vs Pafos: FAQ
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
We make Twente 52% to win, the draw 26% and Pafos 22%, so Twente are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 55%.
Will both teams score in Twente vs Pafos?
We give both teams to score a 55% chance. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Twente and 1.1 for Pafos.
How many goals in Twente vs Pafos?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and under 2.5 at 47%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Twente vs Pafos kick off?
Twente vs Pafos kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Conference League.
FC Midtjylland
Ajax
Aarhus
SC Braga
Atalanta
Kairat Almaty
FK Crvena Zvezda
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split
Trabzonspor
SC Freiburg