Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven preview

Eredivisie action on Sunday 8 November sees PSV Eindhoven travel to face Cambuur. In the standings, PSV Eindhoven are 3rd on 23 points from 11 games and Cambuur 10th on 12 points from 10 games. That puts PSV Eindhoven seven places higher. PSV Eindhoven come into it having picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WDLWL); Cambuur have gone unbeaten in their last four, with two wins and two draws (WDWD). In front of goal, Cambuur score 1.9 and concede 2.2 a game on average; PSV Eindhoven score 3.2 and concede 1.2. On expected goals we have Cambuur at 1.6 and PSV Eindhoven at 3.0, with 1–3 the most likely score (7%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 66%. We make Cambuur 13% to win, the draw 16% and PSV Eindhoven 71%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 13%, 16% and 74%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 66%, against 69% implied by the best price of 1.45. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.