Heerenveen vs Feyenoord prediction
Heerenveen
FeyenoordNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 56%; the best price of 1.72 implies 58%
- Last five: Heerenveen WWWLW, Feyenoord DDWWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.3–1.9: 3.2 in total, most likely score 1–1
Both sides expected to score: 1.3 and 1.9 xG.
Build your bet slip
Heerenveen vs Feyenoord preview
Eredivisie action on Sunday 8 November sees Feyenoord travel to face Heerenveen. In the standings, Feyenoord are 1st on 25 points from 11 games and Heerenveen 7th on 18 points from 11 games. That puts Feyenoord six places higher. On form, Heerenveen have won four of their last five (WWWLW), while Feyenoord have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (DDWWW). Heerenveen average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, compared with 3.0 and 1.1 for Feyenoord. Our model expects around 1.3 goals for Heerenveen and 1.9 for Feyenoord, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 68%. We make Heerenveen 22% to win, the draw 22% and Feyenoord 56%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 23%, 23% and 58%. Our verdict is Feyenoord to win: we rate it at 56%, against 58% implied by the best price of 1.72. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen win | 22% | 4.38 | 23% | -3% |
| Draw | 22% | 4.44 | 23% | -2% |
| Feyenoord win | 56% | 1.72 | 58% | -4% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.39 | 72% | -3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.40 | 29% | +2% |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 1.39 | 72% | -6% |
| Not both to score | 32% | 3.00 | 33% | -3% |
| Heerenveen or draw | 44% | 2.20 | 45% | -3% |
| Feyenoord or draw | 78% | 1.25 | 80% | -3% |
| Either team to win | 78% | 1.23 | 81% | -4% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 1.3 |
| Feyenoord | 1.9 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Heerenveen 1–1 Feyenoord | 11% |
| Heerenveen 1–2 Feyenoord | 10% |
| Heerenveen 0–2 Feyenoord | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Heerenveen | |
| Feyenoord |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 7th | 18 | 11 |
| Feyenoord | 1st | 25 | 11 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Feyenoord | 3.0 | 1.1 |
Heerenveen vs Feyenoord: FAQ
Who will win Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
We make Heerenveen 22% to win, the draw 22% and Feyenoord 56%, so Feyenoord are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Feyenoord the shorter price. Our verdict is Feyenoord to win at 56%.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
We give both teams to score a 68% chance, against 72% implied by the best price of 1.39. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Heerenveen and 1.9 for Feyenoord.
How many goals in Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 70% and under 2.5 at 30%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.39. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Heerenveen vs Feyenoord kick off?
Heerenveen vs Feyenoord kicks off at 11:15 UTC on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Eredivisie.
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
Excelsior
Twente
Telstar
Utrecht
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard