AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction
AC Milan
Ferencvarosi TCNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%
- Expected goals 1.2–1.9, so 59% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
- Last five: AC Milan LWL, Ferencvarosi TC WWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.2–1.9, 3.1 in total.
Our model gives Ferencvarosi TC the win 53%.
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AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC preview
AC Milan host Ferencvarosi TC in the Europa League on Thursday 5 November. AC Milan sit 24th in the table on 3 points from 3 games, while Ferencvarosi TC are 4th with 9 points. That puts Ferencvarosi TC 20 places higher. On form, AC Milan have picked up one win, no draws and two defeats in their last three (LWL), while Ferencvarosi TC have won each of their last three (WWW). AC Milan average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, compared with 3.0 and 1.0 for Ferencvarosi TC. On expected goals we have AC Milan at 1.2 and Ferencvarosi TC at 1.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%. We make AC Milan 22% to win, the draw 25% and Ferencvarosi TC 53%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan win | 22% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Ferencvarosi TC win | 53% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 40% | – | – | – |
| AC Milan or draw | 47% | – | – | – |
| Ferencvarosi TC or draw | 78% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.2 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.9 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| AC Milan 1–1 Ferencvarosi TC | 12% |
| AC Milan 1–2 Ferencvarosi TC | 10% |
| AC Milan 0–2 Ferencvarosi TC | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| AC Milan | |
| Ferencvarosi TC |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 24th | 3 | 3 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 4th | 9 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Ferencvarosi TC | 3.0 | 1.0 |
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC: FAQ
Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
We make AC Milan 22% to win, the draw 25% and Ferencvarosi TC 53%, so Ferencvarosi TC are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance. Our expected goals are 1.2 for AC Milan and 1.9 for Ferencvarosi TC.
How many goals in AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and under 2.5 at 41%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC kick off?
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Europa League.
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