Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
Crystal Palace
1899 HoffenheimNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%
- Expected goals 2.0–1.1, so 60% for over 2.5 and 59% for both to score
- Last five: Crystal Palace DLW, 1899 Hoffenheim WLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 2.0 and 1.1 xG.
Our model gives Crystal Palace the win 58%.
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Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim preview
Crystal Palace welcome 1899 Hoffenheim on Thursday 5 November in the Europa League. Crystal Palace sit 15th in the table on 4 points from 3 games, while 1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd with 3 points. That puts Crystal Palace eight places higher. Recent results matter here: Crystal Palace have picked up one win, one draw and one defeat in their last three (DLW) and 1899 Hoffenheim have picked up one win, no draws and two defeats in their last three (WLL). In front of goal, Crystal Palace score 2.7 and concede 1.7 a game on average; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.7 and concede 1.7. Our model expects around 2.0 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.1 for 1899 Hoffenheim, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 59%. We make Crystal Palace 58% to win, the draw 24% and 1899 Hoffenheim 19%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace win | 58% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – | – |
| 1899 Hoffenheim win | 19% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 41% | – | – | – |
| Crystal Palace or draw | 81% | – | – | – |
| 1899 Hoffenheim or draw | 42% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 76% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 2.0 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.1 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim | 11% |
| Crystal Palace 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim | 10% |
| Crystal Palace 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 15th | 4 | 3 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 23rd | 3 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim: FAQ
Who will win Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We make Crystal Palace 58% to win, the draw 24% and 1899 Hoffenheim 19%, so Crystal Palace are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We give both teams to score a 59% chance. Our expected goals are 2.0 for Crystal Palace and 1.1 for 1899 Hoffenheim.
How many goals in Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 60% and under 2.5 at 40%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Europa League.