NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia NicosiaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%
- Expected goals 1.2–1.7, so 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both to score
- Last five: NEC Nijmegen WDL, Omonia Nicosia LWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 75% combined.
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NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia preview
Europa League action on Thursday 5 November sees Omonia Nicosia travel to face NEC Nijmegen. NEC Nijmegen sit 20th in the table on 4 points from 3 games, while Omonia Nicosia are 11th with 6 points. That puts Omonia Nicosia nine places higher. Omonia Nicosia come into it having picked up two wins, no draws and one defeat in their last three (LWW); NEC Nijmegen have picked up one win, one draw and one defeat in their last three (WDL). NEC Nijmegen average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game, compared with 1.7 and 1.3 for Omonia Nicosia. Our model expects around 1.2 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.7 for Omonia Nicosia, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%. We make NEC Nijmegen 25% to win, the draw 27% and Omonia Nicosia 48%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 58%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen win | 25% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – | – |
| Omonia Nicosia win | 48% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 42% | – | – | – |
| NEC Nijmegen or draw | 52% | – | – | – |
| Omonia Nicosia or draw | 75% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 73% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.2 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 |
| Total | 2.9 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Omonia Nicosia | 13% |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Omonia Nicosia | 10% |
| NEC Nijmegen 0–1 Omonia Nicosia | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | |
| Omonia Nicosia |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 20th | 4 | 3 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 11th | 6 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 1.3 |
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: FAQ
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
We make NEC Nijmegen 25% to win, the draw 27% and Omonia Nicosia 48%, so Omonia Nicosia are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 58%.
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
We give both teams to score a 58% chance. Our expected goals are 1.2 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.7 for Omonia Nicosia.
How many goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our model expects about 2.9 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 55% and under 2.5 at 45%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia kick off?
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Europa League.
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