Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction
Celta Vigo
Union St. GilloiseNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%
- Expected goals 1.2–1.9, so 59% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
- Last five: Celta Vigo WLL, Union St. Gilloise WDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.2–1.9, 3.1 in total.
Our model gives Union St. Gilloise the win 53%.
Build your bet slip
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise preview
Celta Vigo host Union St. Gilloise in the Europa League on Thursday 5 November. Celta Vigo sit 25th in the table on 3 points from 3 games, while Union St. Gilloise are 6th with 7 points. That puts Union St. Gilloise 19 places higher. Union St. Gilloise come into it having gone unbeaten in their last three, with two wins and one draw (WDW); Celta Vigo have picked up one win, no draws and two defeats in their last three (WLL). Celta Vigo average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 2.7 and 0.3 for Union St. Gilloise. On expected goals we have Celta Vigo at 1.2 and Union St. Gilloise at 1.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Celta Vigo 22% to win, the draw 25% and Union St. Gilloise 53%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo win | 22% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Union St. Gilloise win | 53% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 40% | – | – | – |
| Celta Vigo or draw | 47% | – | – | – |
| Union St. Gilloise or draw | 78% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.2 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 1.9 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo 1–1 Union St. Gilloise | 12% |
| Celta Vigo 1–2 Union St. Gilloise | 10% |
| Celta Vigo 0–2 Union St. Gilloise | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | |
| Union St. Gilloise |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 25th | 3 | 3 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 6th | 7 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.7 | 0.3 |
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: FAQ
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We make Celta Vigo 22% to win, the draw 25% and Union St. Gilloise 53%, so Union St. Gilloise are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance. Our expected goals are 1.2 for Celta Vigo and 1.9 for Union St. Gilloise.
How many goals in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and under 2.5 at 41%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise kick off?
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Europa League.
Crystal Palace
1899 Hoffenheim
Rennes
Olympiakos Piraeus
Lillestrom
Plzen
NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
AC Milan
Ferencvarosi TC
Real Sociedad
Lyon