Celtic vs Beşiktaş prediction
Celtic
BeşiktaşNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 69%
- Expected goals 1.4–2.1, so 69% for over 2.5 and 68% for both to score
- Last five: Celtic LLL, Beşiktaş DWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.4 and 2.1 xG.
Our model gives Beşiktaş the win 52%.
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Celtic vs Beşiktaş preview
Europa League action on Thursday 5 November sees Beşiktaş travel to face Celtic. Celtic sit 35th in the table on 0 points from 3 games, while Beşiktaş are 8th with 7 points. That puts Beşiktaş 27 places higher. Beşiktaş come into it having gone unbeaten in their last three, with two wins and one draw (DWW); Celtic have lost each of their last three (LLL). Celtic average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game, compared with 3.0 and 1.7 for Beşiktaş. On expected goals we have Celtic at 1.4 and Beşiktaş at 2.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (10%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 68%. We make Celtic 25% to win, the draw 23% and Beşiktaş 52%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 69%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic win | 25% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – | – |
| Beşiktaş win | 52% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 68% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 32% | – | – | – |
| Celtic or draw | 48% | – | – | – |
| Beşiktaş or draw | 75% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 77% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.4 |
| Beşiktaş | 2.1 |
| Total | 3.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Celtic 1–1 Beşiktaş | 10% |
| Celtic 1–2 Beşiktaş | 9% |
| Celtic 2–2 Beşiktaş | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Celtic | |
| Beşiktaş |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 35th | 0 | 3 |
| Beşiktaş | 8th | 7 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| Beşiktaş | 3.0 | 1.7 |
Celtic vs Beşiktaş: FAQ
Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
We make Celtic 25% to win, the draw 23% and Beşiktaş 52%, so Beşiktaş are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
We give both teams to score a 68% chance. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Celtic and 2.1 for Beşiktaş.
How many goals in Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
Our model expects about 3.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 69% and under 2.5 at 31%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Celtic vs Beşiktaş kick off?
Celtic vs Beşiktaş kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Europa League.
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