Europa League

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction

Europa League · Wednesday 4 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

Rennes

15:30

Kick-off (UTC)

Olympiakos Piraeus

Our verdict · Both teams to score

Both teams to score

Our chance59%

Best price1.62

Fair odds1.69

No value edgeConfidence: Low

Why

We make it 59%; the best price of 1.62 implies 62%
Expected goals 1.3–1.4, so 54% for over 2.5 and 59% for both to score
Last five: Rennes DWD, Olympiakos Piraeus WWW
No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip

Our 2nd and 3rd picks

Double chance

Rennes or draw

No side is clear, so we cover two results: 70% combined.

70%

@ 1.37

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Every market we price for this match, on the main site.

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Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus preview

Rennes host Olympiakos Piraeus in the Europa League on Wednesday 4 November. Rennes sit 13th in the table on 5 points from 3 games, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 5th with 9 points. That puts Olympiakos Piraeus eight places higher. On form, Rennes have gone unbeaten in their last three, with one win and two draws (DWD), while Olympiakos Piraeus have won each of their last three (WWW). In front of goal, Rennes score 1.3 and concede 1.0 a game on average; Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 0.3. On expected goals we have Rennes at 1.3 and Olympiakos Piraeus at 1.4, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. We make Rennes 44% to win, the draw 26% and Olympiakos Piraeus 30%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 46%, 27% and 30%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 59%, against 62% implied by the best price of 1.62. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.

Match result: our chances against the odds

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Rennes win	44%	2.19	46%	-5%
Draw	26%	3.74	27%	-1%
Olympiakos Piraeus win	30%	3.35	30%	+0%

Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.

Goals, both teams to score and double chance

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.78	56%	-3%
Under 2.5 goals	46%	2.14	47%	-2%
Both teams to score	59%	1.62	62%	-4%
Not both to score	41%	2.38	42%	-3%
Rennes or draw	70%	1.37	73%	-4%
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw	56%	1.75	57%	-1%
Either team to win	74%	1.30	77%	-4%

Expected goals and likely scores

Expected goals	xG
Rennes	1.3
Olympiakos Piraeus	1.4
Total	2.7

Most likely scores	Chance
Rennes 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus	14%
Rennes 1–2 Olympiakos Piraeus	8%
Rennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus	8%

Form, table and goals

Form (last 3)	Results
Rennes
Olympiakos Piraeus

League position	Pos	Pts	Played
Rennes	13th	5	3
Olympiakos Piraeus	5th	9	3

Goals per game	Scored	Conceded
Rennes	1.3	1.0
Olympiakos Piraeus	1.3	0.3

Corners and cards lines

Line	Over	Under
Corners 9.5	1.80 (56%)	1.86 (54%)

Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: FAQ

Who will win Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

We make Rennes 44% to win, the draw 26% and Olympiakos Piraeus 30%, so Rennes are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Rennes the shorter price. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 59%.

Will both teams score in Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

We give both teams to score a 59% chance, against 62% implied by the best price of 1.62. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Rennes and 1.4 for Olympiakos Piraeus.

How many goals in Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and under 2.5 at 46%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.78. The single most likely score is 1–1.

What time does Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus kick off?

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Wednesday 4 November 2026, in the Europa League.