Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction
Sparta Praha
BournemouthNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%
- Expected goals 1.3–1.6, so 55% for over 2.5 and 59% for both to score
- Last five: Sparta Praha LDW, Bournemouth WWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 68% combined.
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Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth preview
Europa League action on Thursday 5 November sees Bournemouth travel to face Sparta Praha. In the standings, Bournemouth are 3rd on 9 points from 3 games and Sparta Praha 16th on 4 points from 3 games. That puts Bournemouth 13 places higher. On form, Sparta Praha have picked up one win, one draw and one defeat in their last three (LDW), while Bournemouth have won each of their last three (WWW). Sparta Praha average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, compared with 2.7 and 0.3 for Bournemouth. On expected goals we have Sparta Praha at 1.3 and Bournemouth at 1.6, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%. We make Sparta Praha 32% to win, the draw 27% and Bournemouth 41%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 59%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha win | 32% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – | – |
| Bournemouth win | 41% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 41% | – | – | – |
| Sparta Praha or draw | 59% | – | – | – |
| Bournemouth or draw | 68% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 73% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.3 |
| Bournemouth | 1.6 |
| Total | 2.9 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Sparta Praha 1–1 Bournemouth | 13% |
| Sparta Praha 1–2 Bournemouth | 9% |
| Sparta Praha 2–1 Bournemouth | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | |
| Bournemouth |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 16th | 4 | 3 |
| Bournemouth | 3rd | 9 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Bournemouth | 2.7 | 0.3 |
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: FAQ
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We make Sparta Praha 32% to win, the draw 27% and Bournemouth 41%, so Bournemouth are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 59%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We give both teams to score a 59% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Sparta Praha and 1.6 for Bournemouth.
How many goals in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our model expects about 2.9 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 55% and under 2.5 at 45%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth kick off?
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026, in the Europa League.
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