Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction

Celta Vigo vs Levante preview

Celta Vigo host Levante in La Liga on Sunday 8 November. Celta Vigo sit 9th in the table on 12 points from 11 games, while Levante are 17th with 10 points. That puts Celta Vigo eight places higher. On form, Celta Vigo have picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (LDWDW), while Levante have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LLWDD). In front of goal, Celta Vigo score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game on average; Levante score 1.5 and concede 1.9.

Our model expects around 1.5 goals for Celta Vigo and 0.8 for Levante, and 1–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%. We put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%. We make Celta Vigo 53% to win, the draw 25% and Levante 21%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 54%, 25% and 22%. Our verdict is Celta Vigo to win: we rate it at 53%, against 54% implied by the best price of 1.86. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.