Villarreal vs Getafe prediction

Villarreal vs Getafe preview

La Liga action on Sunday 8 November sees Getafe travel to face Villarreal. In the standings, Getafe are 18th on 9 points from 10 games and Villarreal 8th on 12 points from 11 games. That puts Villarreal ten places higher. On form, Villarreal have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LWDLW), while Getafe have lost three of their last five (LDLWL). Villarreal average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, compared with 0.5 and 1.5 for Getafe. Our model expects around 1.8 goals for Villarreal and 0.7 for Getafe, and 1–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 46%. We make Villarreal 63% to win, the draw 22% and Getafe 14%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 65%, 22% and 15%. Our verdict is Villarreal to win: we rate it at 63%, against 65% implied by the best price of 1.55. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.