Rennes vs Lille prediction
Rennes
LilleNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%; the best price of 1.57 implies 64%
- Expected goals 1.6–1.1, so 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
- Last five: Rennes LWLWL, Lille WDDWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 72% combined.
Expected goals 1.6–1.1, 2.8 in total.
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Rennes vs Lille preview
Rennes welcome Lille on Sunday 8 November in Ligue 1. In the standings, Lille are 2nd on 18 points from 9 games and Rennes 3rd on 16 points from 9 games. Lille come into it having picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (WDDWL); Rennes have lost three of their last five (LWLWL). Rennes average 2.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, compared with 1.3 and 0.7 for Lille. Our model expects around 1.6 goals for Rennes and 1.1 for Lille, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Rennes 47% to win, the draw 25% and Lille 28%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 48%, 25% and 28%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%, against 64% implied by the best price of 1.57. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes win | 47% | 2.07 | 48% | -2% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | 25% | -1% |
| Lille win | 28% | 3.54 | 28% | -2% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.68 | 60% | -3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 42% | +0% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.57 | 64% | -6% |
| Not both to score | 40% | 2.40 | 42% | -4% |
| Rennes or draw | 72% | 1.35 | 74% | -2% |
| Lille or draw | 53% | 1.84 | 54% | -3% |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.29 | 78% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Rennes | 1.6 |
| Lille | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Rennes 1–1 Lille | 13% |
| Rennes 2–1 Lille | 9% |
| Rennes 1–0 Lille | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Rennes | |
| Lille |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 3rd | 16 | 9 |
| Lille | 2nd | 18 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Lille | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Rennes vs Lille: FAQ
Who will win Rennes vs Lille?
We make Rennes 47% to win, the draw 25% and Lille 28%, so Rennes are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Rennes the shorter price. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Lille?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance, against 64% implied by the best price of 1.57. Our expected goals are 1.6 for Rennes and 1.1 for Lille.
How many goals in Rennes vs Lille?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and under 2.5 at 42%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.68. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Rennes vs Lille kick off?
Rennes vs Lille kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Ligue 1.
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