Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction
Ipswich
BournemouthNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%; the best price of 1.73 implies 58%
- Expected goals 1.7–1.5, so 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both to score
- Last five: Ipswich DDLWL, Bournemouth WWWLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 72% combined.
Both sides expected to score: 1.7 and 1.5 xG.
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Ipswich vs Bournemouth preview
Ipswich welcome Bournemouth on Sunday 8 November in the Premier League. In the standings, Bournemouth are 7th on 12 points from 9 games and Ipswich 13th on 11 points from 9 games. That puts Bournemouth six places higher. On form, Ipswich have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (DDLWL), while Bournemouth have won three of their last five (WWWLL). Ipswich average 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, compared with 1.6 and 1.4 for Bournemouth. Our model expects around 1.7 goals for Ipswich and 1.5 for Bournemouth, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. We make Ipswich 28% to win, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 47%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 27%, 25% and 50%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 58%, against 58% implied by the best price of 1.73. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 28% | 3.77 | 27% | +5% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | 25% | -1% |
| Bournemouth win | 47% | 2.02 | 50% | -5% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 58% | 0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.31 | 43% | -2% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.62 | 62% | -4% |
| Not both to score | 41% | 2.30 | 43% | -6% |
| Ipswich or draw | 53% | 1.91 | 52% | +1% |
| Bournemouth or draw | 72% | 1.32 | 76% | -5% |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.29 | 78% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 |
| Bournemouth | 1.5 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Ipswich 1–1 Bournemouth | 12% |
| Ipswich 2–1 Bournemouth | 9% |
| Ipswich 1–2 Bournemouth | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Ipswich | |
| Bournemouth |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 13th | 11 | 9 |
| Bournemouth | 7th | 12 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Bournemouth | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: FAQ
Who will win Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
We make Ipswich 28% to win, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 47%, so Bournemouth are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Bournemouth the shorter price. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
We give both teams to score a 59% chance, against 62% implied by the best price of 1.62. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Ipswich and 1.5 for Bournemouth.
How many goals in Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and under 2.5 at 42%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.73. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Ipswich vs Bournemouth kick off?
Ipswich vs Bournemouth kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Premier League.
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