Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction

Manchester United vs Aston Villa preview

Manchester United welcome Aston Villa on Sunday 8 November in the Premier League. In the standings, Aston Villa are 9th on 12 points from 9 games and Manchester United 17th on 7 points from 9 games. That puts Aston Villa eight places higher. On form, Manchester United have not won any of their last five (three draws, two defeats) (LLDDD), while Aston Villa have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (DWWDW). In front of goal, Manchester United score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game on average; Aston Villa score 1.1 and concede 1.4.

On expected goals we have Manchester United at 1.5 and Aston Villa at 1.3, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%). We put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%. We make Manchester United 42% to win, the draw 25% and Aston Villa 33%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 43%, 25% and 33%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 63%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.