Estoril vs Maritimo prediction
Estoril
MaritimoNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 55%
- Expected goals 1.4–1.3, so 49% for over 2.5 and 55% for both to score
- Last five: Estoril LLLLL, Maritimo LLDLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 66% combined.
Build your bet slip
Estoril vs Maritimo preview
Estoril host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 8 November. In the standings, Maritimo are 14th on 8 points from 9 games and Estoril 18th on 2 points from 10 games. On form, Estoril have lost each of their last five (LLLLL), while Maritimo have not won any of their last five (one draw, four defeats) (LLDLL). In front of goal, Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.9 a game on average; Maritimo score 1.0 and concede 2.1. On expected goals we have Estoril at 1.4 and Maritimo at 1.3, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 55%. We make Estoril 37% to win, the draw 29% and Maritimo 34%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 55%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril win | 37% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – | – |
| Maritimo win | 34% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 45% | – | – | – |
| Estoril or draw | 66% | – | – | – |
| Maritimo or draw | 63% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.4 |
| Maritimo | 1.3 |
| Total | 2.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Estoril 1–1 Maritimo | 14% |
| Estoril 0–0 Maritimo | 9% |
| Estoril 2–1 Maritimo | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Estoril | |
| Maritimo |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 18th | 2 | 10 |
| Maritimo | 14th | 8 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Maritimo | 1.0 | 2.1 |
Estoril vs Maritimo: FAQ
Who will win Estoril vs Maritimo?
We make Estoril 37% to win, the draw 29% and Maritimo 34%, so Estoril are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 55%.
Will both teams score in Estoril vs Maritimo?
We give both teams to score a 55% chance. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Estoril and 1.3 for Maritimo.
How many goals in Estoril vs Maritimo?
Our model expects about 2.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 49% and under 2.5 at 51%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Estoril vs Maritimo kick off?
Estoril vs Maritimo kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Primeira Liga.
Arouca
Nacional
Santa Clara
Academico Viseu
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Famalicao
Benfica
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC