GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC prediction
GIL Vicente
Vitória SCNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 65%
- Expected goals 1.3–0.8, so 35% for over 2.5 and 42% for both to score
- Last five: GIL Vicente LWWDL, Vitória SC WLDLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 78% combined.
One side is expected to struggle: 0.8 xG.
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GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC preview
GIL Vicente welcome Vitória SC on Monday 2 November in the Primeira Liga. GIL Vicente sit 7th in the table on 14 points from 9 games, while Vitória SC are 13th with 8 points. That puts GIL Vicente six places higher. Recent results matter here: GIL Vicente have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LWWDL) and Vitória SC have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (WLDLD). GIL Vicente average 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, compared with 1.1 and 1.1 for Vitória SC. Our model expects around 1.3 goals for GIL Vicente and 0.8 for Vitória SC, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 42%. We make GIL Vicente 47% to win, the draw 32% and Vitória SC 22%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 65%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente win | 47% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 32% | – | – | – |
| Vitória SC win | 22% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 42% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 58% | – | – | – |
| GIL Vicente or draw | 78% | – | – | – |
| Vitória SC or draw | 53% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 68% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.3 |
| Vitória SC | 0.8 |
| Total | 2.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| GIL Vicente 1–1 Vitória SC | 14% |
| GIL Vicente 1–0 Vitória SC | 14% |
| GIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC | 14% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | |
| Vitória SC |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 7th | 14 | 9 |
| Vitória SC | 13th | 8 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Vitória SC | 1.1 | 1.1 |
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: FAQ
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?
We make GIL Vicente 47% to win, the draw 32% and Vitória SC 22%, so GIL Vicente are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score in GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?
We give both teams to score a 42% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for GIL Vicente and 0.8 for Vitória SC.
How many goals in GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?
Our model expects about 2.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 35% and under 2.5 at 65%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC kick off?
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC kicks off at 20:15 UTC on Monday 2 November 2026, in the Primeira Liga.
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