Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente prediction
Santa Clara
GIL VicenteNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%
- Expected goals 1.3–1.0, so 40% for over 2.5 and 47% for both to score
- Last five: Santa Clara LWDWW, GIL Vicente LWWDL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 74% combined.
Build your bet slip
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente preview
Santa Clara welcome GIL Vicente on Sunday 8 November in the Primeira Liga. Santa Clara sit 4th in the table on 18 points from 9 games, while GIL Vicente are 7th with 14 points. Recent results matter here: Santa Clara have won three of their last five (LWDWW) and GIL Vicente have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LWWDL). In front of goal, Santa Clara score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game on average; GIL Vicente score 0.9 and concede 0.8. On expected goals we have Santa Clara at 1.3 and GIL Vicente at 1.0, with 1–1 the most likely score (15%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%. We make Santa Clara 43% to win, the draw 31% and GIL Vicente 26%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara win | 43% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 31% | – | – | – |
| GIL Vicente win | 26% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| Santa Clara or draw | 74% | – | – | – |
| GIL Vicente or draw | 57% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 69% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.3 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 |
| Total | 2.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Santa Clara 1–1 GIL Vicente | 15% |
| Santa Clara 0–0 GIL Vicente | 12% |
| Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente | 12% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Santa Clara | |
| GIL Vicente |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 4th | 18 | 9 |
| GIL Vicente | 7th | 14 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| GIL Vicente | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: FAQ
Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
We make Santa Clara 43% to win, the draw 31% and GIL Vicente 26%, so Santa Clara are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
We give both teams to score a 47% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Santa Clara and 1.0 for GIL Vicente.
How many goals in Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
Our model expects about 2.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 40% and under 2.5 at 60%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente kick off?
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday 8 November 2026, in the Primeira Liga.
Arouca
Nacional
Maritimo
Academico Viseu
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Famalicao
Benfica
Alverca
Vitória SC