Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction

Fiorentina vs Juventus preview

Serie A action on Sunday 8 November sees Juventus travel to face Fiorentina. Fiorentina sit 17th in the table on 5 points from 9 games, while Juventus are 9th with 14 points. That puts Juventus eight places higher. Juventus come into it having picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LWLDW); Fiorentina have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (DLLLD). In front of goal, Fiorentina score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game on average; Juventus score 1.2 and concede 1.1. On expected goals we have Fiorentina at 1.1 and Juventus at 1.7, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%. We make Fiorentina 22% to win, the draw 24% and Juventus 55%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 22%, 24% and 56%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 56%, against 57% implied by the best price of 1.75. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.